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Americas / United States · Politics

2026 US midterm elections polling and race predictions

Rank
Ran
46h
Updated
3d ago
Final
Outlets
6
Regions
3
Countries
6
Languages
5

+0

The Guardian United Kingdom · English 2 Oct, 11:30 UTC

The only English report

Read it also in Español (2) · Deutsch (1) · Português (1) · Tiếng Việt (1) · +3 languages

Read at The Guardian

How it spread

Outlets covering the story by hours since its first article: one at the start, 6 after 47 hours.

2 4 6
0h 12h 24h 36h

Outlets, by hours since the first article

  1. First outlet: Der Spiegel, 30 Sept, 14:20 UTC.
  2. Second country: Argentina, with La Nación (AR).
  3. Second region: Americas, with La Nación (AR).
  4. Fastest hour: +2 outlets from 1 Oct, 11:00 UTC.
  5. Last article: 6 outlets.

Where it travelled

47 of 47 hours

Earlier Later

The 6 countries whose press covered it, the later a country joined, the more it stands out. Open the live map

The regions

33%17%50%

  • Americas 2 outlets · 2 countries · 33%
  • Asia-Pacific 1 outlet · 1 country · 17%
  • Europe 3 outlets · 3 countries · 50%

First movers

  1. Der Spiegel 30 Sept, 14:20 UTC
  2. La Nación (AR) +20h 40m
  3. CNN Brasil +21h 38m
  4. Thanh Niên +32h 47m
  5. The Guardian +45h 11m

Last to join

  1. El País 2 Oct, 13:10 UTC
  2. The Guardian 2 Oct, 11:30 UTC
  3. Thanh Niên 1 Oct, 23:07 UTC
  4. CNN Brasil 1 Oct, 11:57 UTC
  5. La Nación (AR) 1 Oct, 11:00 UTC

The figures

Coverage
6 outlets in 6 countries, across 3 regions. The article links last a week past the story’s last article; the outlet list is permanent. Of the 6 outlets, 1 state-owned, 5 private. A count of countries is not a count of independent press systems.
Countries by region
Americas 2: Argentina, Brazil. Asia-Pacific 1: Vietnam. Europe 3: Germany, Spain, United Kingdom. The region a country’s press publishes from, as the feed list files it; the outlets that publish from no single country count as one country under International.
Languages
German, English, Spanish, Portuguese, Vietnamese.
Timeline
Earliest article Der Spiegel, 30 Sept 2026, 14:20 UTC. First seen 30 Sept 2026, 14:40 UTC. Last seen 2 Oct 2026, 13:10 UTC. The earliest article is the earliest claimed publication time among the outlets Loudest reads, a claim rather than an observation and not a record of who broke the story (the data files call it the lead article); first seen is when Loudest first fetched an article of it, from which the running time counts.
Classification
Region Americas, United States. Topic Politics. Hard news Judged hard news. On the map. Whether the story is hard news under the rule in the methodology, judged from its headlines by a model; a story judged outside the rule is left off the map and kept here. The region and country are where the story is about, not where it was covered.
Score
None now: last seen more than 48 hours ago, so off the ranking. One vote per general-press country and a smaller term for outlets, each counted from the moment it joined the story and fading on its own clock, so a late article does not renew the rest. A day in the archive keeps the score it was ranked by that day.
Chain
Continued by US midterm elections 2026: key battlegrounds and stakes; La mappa del voto in America e i numeri delle midterm; ‘Bordering on angry’: The state of play as US midterms enter final month. A story continues another when it resembled it as it began, past that story’s own 48-hour box.
Day by day

Outlets and countries are the story’s whole life as of that midnight; the 24-hour columns are that day’s own coverage; the last column is the methodology version the day was measured under, and a day that spans a change of version shows the first and last, linked to the changelog that lists every version between. A day marked partial is one Loudest read only in part: fewer than 130 of its 144 ten-minute runs, or more than 30 minutes missed at its start or end.

Day Rank Score Outlets Countries 24h outlets 24h countries Method
1 Oct 2026 239 5.00 4 4 3 3 4.0
2 Oct 2026 373 3.17 6 6 2 2 4.0

This record as JSON, CC BY 4.0.

How this was measured

This page describes measured coverage: which of the outlets Loudest reads carried the story, from how many countries and in how many languages, and when. It says nothing about whether the story is true, important or well reported.

Started 30 Sept, 14:40 UTC · Updated 2 Oct, 13:10 UTC

Covered by 6 outlets

Pin outlets you trust with ☆ and they come first in every story.

Americas 2 outlets

  • CNN Brasil Brazil 1 Oct, 11:57 UTC
    Votação antecipada nos EUA mostra vantagem democrata nas Midterms
  • La Nación (AR) Argentina 1 Oct, 11:00 UTC
    Midterm USA 2026: encuestas actualizadas por las elecciones en EE.UU. y quién gana entre demócratas y republicanos

Asia-Pacific 1 outlet

  • Thanh Niên Vietnam 1 Oct, 23:07 UTC
    Liệu có 'bất ngờ tháng 10' cho bầu cử giữa kỳ Mỹ ?

Europe 3 outlets

  • El País Spain 2 Oct, 13:10 UTC
    Calculadora electoral: ¿Quién se hará con el control del Senado en las ‘midterms’?
  • The Guardian United Kingdom 2 Oct, 11:30 UTC
    The US midterm races that will decide control of Congress – mapped
  • Der Spiegel Germany 30 Sept, 14:20 UTC
    So stehen die Rennen bei den US-Midterms
Read at The Guardian

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