Americas / Brazil · Politics

Datafolha poll shows Flávio ahead of Lula in Brazilian runoff

Rank: 44
Running: 23h
Updated: 3h ago
Momentum: -16%
Outlets: 12
Regions: 3
Countries: 7
Languages: 3

Anadolu Agency Turkey · English 8 Oct, 22:26 UTC

The only English report

Read it also in Español (6) · +1 language

Read at Anadolu Agency

How it spread

Outlets, by hours since the first article

First outlet: G1, 8 Oct, 03:00 UTC.
Second country: Mexico, with El Sol de México.
Second region: Middle East, with Anadolu Agency.
Fastest hour: +4 outlets from 8 Oct, 22:03 UTC.
Now: 12 outlets.

Where it travelled

The 7 countries whose press covered it, the later a country joined, the more it stands out. Open the live map

The regions

83%

Americas 10 outlets · 5 countries · 83%
Europe 1 outlet · 1 country · 9%
Middle East 1 outlet · 1 country · 8%

First movers

G1 8 Oct, 03:00 UTC
Poder360 +7h 30m
CNN Brasil +7h 32m
Metrópoles +11h 39m
Estadão +12h 34m

Latest arrivals

El Mundo 8 Oct, 22:31 UTC
El País (UY) 8 Oct, 22:30 UTC
Anadolu Agency 8 Oct, 22:26 UTC
Clarín 8 Oct, 22:03 UTC
La Tercera 8 Oct, 19:13 UTC

The chapters

This story continues an earlier wave: Flávio Bolsonaro defeats Lula in Brazil first round election, 5 to 6 Oct 2026, 10 outlets.

The figures

Coverage: 12 outlets in 7 countries, across 3 regions. The article links are kept for good for every story that reaches the map. Of the 12 outlets, 1 state-owned, 11 private. A count of countries is not a count of independent press systems.
Countries by region: Americas 5: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Uruguay. Europe 1: Spain. Middle East 1: Turkey. The region a country’s press publishes from, as the feed list files it; the outlets that publish from no single country count as one country under International.
Languages: English, Spanish, Portuguese.
Timeline: Earliest article G1, 8 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC. First seen 8 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC. Last seen 8 Oct 2026, 23:32 UTC. The earliest article is the earliest claimed publication time among the outlets Loudest reads, a claim rather than an observation and not a record of who broke the story (the data files call it the lead article); first seen is when Loudest first fetched an article of it, from which the running time counts.
Classification: Region Americas, Brazil. Topic Politics. Hard news Judged hard news. On the map. Whether the story is hard news under the rule in the methodology, judged from its headlines by a model; a story judged outside the rule is left off the map and kept here. The region and country are where the story is about, not where it was covered.
Score: 4.17, as of now. One vote per general-press country and a smaller term for outlets, each counted from the moment it joined the story and fading on its own clock, so a late article does not renew the rest. A day in the archive keeps the score it was ranked by that day.
Chain: Continues Flávio Bolsonaro defeats Lula in Brazil first round election. Merged from 3 stories First poll shows Flavio Bolsonaro leading Lula in Brazil runoff; Brazilian poll shows Lula's election chances declining sharply; Datafolha releases first runoff presidential poll Thursday. A story continues another when it resembled it as it began, past that story’s own 48-hour box. A story merged from several was grouped from stories about the same event; each keeps its own headline and page, and the whole story counts every outlet and country once.
Day by day: Outlets and countries are the story’s whole life as of that midnight; the 24-hour columns are that day’s own coverage; the last column is the methodology version the day was measured under, and a day that spans a change of version shows the first and last, linked to the changelog that lists every version between. A day marked partial is one Loudest read only in part: fewer than 130 of its 144 ten-minute runs, or more than 30 minutes missed at its start or end.

Day Rank Score Outlets Countries 24h outlets 24h countries Method

8 Oct 2026 159 4.89 10 5 10 5 4.6

This record as JSON, CC BY 4.0.

How this was measured

This page describes measured coverage: which of the outlets Loudest reads carried the story, from how many countries and in how many languages, and when. It says nothing about whether the story is true, important or well reported.

Started 8 Oct, 03:10 UTC · Updated 23:32 UTC

Merged from 3 stories

Covered by 12 outlets

Pin outlets you trust with ☆ and they come first in every story.

Americas 10 outlets

Europe 1 outlet

El Mundo Spain 8 Oct, 22:31 UTC
Bolsonaro lidera la primera encuesta previa a la segunda vuelta Presidencial de Brasil

Middle East 1 outlet

Anadolu Agency Turkey 8 Oct, 22:26 UTC
First poll since Brazil’s first round presidential election predicts Flavio 53%, Lula 47% in upcoming runoff