Americas / Brazil · Politics

Datafolha poll shows tight race between Lula and Bolsonaro

Rank
Ran: 2d
Updated: 3d ago
Final
Outlets: 8
Regions: 2
Countries: 3
Languages: 4

Folha de S.Paulo Brazil · English 2 Oct, 15:11 UTC

The only English report

Read it also in Português (5) · +2 languages

Read at Folha de S.Paulo

How it spread

Outlets, by hours since the first article

First outlet: Poder360, 30 Sept, 10:00 UTC.
Fastest hour: +2 outlets from 30 Sept, 10:00 UTC.
Second country: Argentina, with Perfil.
Second region: Europe, with Proto Thema.
Last article: 8 outlets.

Where it travelled

The 3 countries whose press covered it, the later a country joined, the more it stands out. Open the live map

The regions

88%12%

Americas 7 outlets · 2 countries · 88%
Europe 1 outlet · 1 country · 12%

First movers

Poder360 30 Sept, 10:00 UTC
Metrópoles +0m
CNN Brasil +4h 47m
G1 +17h 29m
Estadão +36h 5m

Last to join

Folha de S.Paulo 2 Oct, 15:11 UTC
Proto Thema 2 Oct, 02:34 UTC
Perfil 1 Oct, 23:39 UTC
Estadão 1 Oct, 22:05 UTC
G1 1 Oct, 03:30 UTC

The figures

Coverage: 8 outlets in 3 countries, across 2 regions. The article links last a week past the story’s last article; the outlet list is permanent. Of the 8 outlets, 8 private. A count of countries is not a count of independent press systems.
Countries by region: Americas 2: Argentina, Brazil. Europe 1: Greece. The region a country’s press publishes from, as the feed list files it; the outlets that publish from no single country count as one country under International.
Languages: Greek, English, Spanish, Portuguese.
Timeline: Earliest article Poder360, 30 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC. First seen 30 Sept 2026, 10:10 UTC. Last seen 2 Oct 2026, 20:55 UTC. The earliest article is the earliest claimed publication time among the outlets Loudest reads, a claim rather than an observation and not a record of who broke the story (the data files call it the lead article); first seen is when Loudest first fetched an article of it, from which the running time counts.
Classification: Region Americas, Brazil. Topic Politics. Hard news Judged hard news. On the map. Whether the story is hard news under the rule in the methodology, judged from its headlines by a model; a story judged outside the rule is left off the map and kept here. The region and country are where the story is about, not where it was covered.
Score: None now: last seen more than 48 hours ago, so off the ranking. One vote per general-press country and a smaller term for outlets, each counted from the moment it joined the story and fading on its own clock, so a late article does not renew the rest. A day in the archive keeps the score it was ranked by that day.
Chain: Continued by Datafolha poll shows Lula leading in Minas Gerais governor race; Pareggio tecnico alla vigilia: Lula al 45% e Flavio Bolsonaro al 42%.. A story continues another when it resembled it as it began, past that story’s own 48-hour box.
Day by day: Outlets and countries are the story’s whole life as of that midnight; the 24-hour columns are that day’s own coverage; the last column is the methodology version the day was measured under, and a day that spans a change of version shows the first and last, linked to the changelog that lists every version between. A day marked partial is one Loudest read only in part: fewer than 130 of its 144 ten-minute runs, or more than 30 minutes missed at its start or end.

Day Rank Score Outlets Countries 24h outlets 24h countries Method

2 Oct 2026 264 4.45 8 3 5 2 4.0

This record as JSON, CC BY 4.0.

How this was measured

This page describes measured coverage: which of the outlets Loudest reads carried the story, from how many countries and in how many languages, and when. It says nothing about whether the story is true, important or well reported.

Started 30 Sept, 10:10 UTC · Updated 2 Oct, 20:55 UTC

Covered by 8 outlets

Pin outlets you trust with ☆ and they come first in every story.

Americas 7 outlets

Europe 1 outlet

Proto Thema Greece 2 Oct, 02:34 UTC
Τεχνική ισοπαλία Λούλα - Μπολσονάρου πριν από τον πρώτο γύρο των εκλογών στη Βραζιλία