Americas / Brazil · Politics

Lula leads Flávio Bolsonaro in Brazil election poll

Rank
Ran: 45h
Updated: 5d ago
Final
Outlets: 12
Regions: 2
Countries: 8
Languages: 4

MercoPress Uruguay · English 29 Sept, 07:21 UTC

The only English report

Read it also in Español (9) · +2 languages

Read at MercoPress

How it spread

Outlets, by hours since the first article

First outlet: Infobae, 28 Sept, 14:17 UTC.
Second country: Chile, with BioBioChile.
Fastest hour: +2 outlets from 28 Sept, 14:17 UTC.
Second region: Europe, with Interfax.
Last article: 12 outlets.

Where it travelled

The 8 countries whose press covered it, the later a country joined, the more it stands out. Open the live map

The regions

92%

Americas 11 outlets · 7 countries · 92%
Europe 1 outlet · 1 country · 8%

First movers

Infobae 28 Sept, 14:17 UTC
BioBioChile +52m
El Comercio +1h 4m
La Nación (AR) +2h 17m
El Nacional +3h 32m

Last to join

Estadão 30 Sept, 10:00 UTC
Clarín 29 Sept, 14:06 UTC
Interfax 29 Sept, 12:47 UTC
MercoPress 29 Sept, 07:21 UTC
El Financiero 28 Sept, 20:34 UTC

The figures

Coverage: 12 outlets in 8 countries, across 2 regions. The article links last a week past the story’s last article; the outlet list is permanent. Of the 12 outlets, 12 private. A count of countries is not a count of independent press systems.
Countries by region: Americas 7: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay, Venezuela. Europe 1: Russia. The region a country’s press publishes from, as the feed list files it; the outlets that publish from no single country count as one country under International.
Languages: English, Spanish, Portuguese, Russian.
Timeline: Earliest article Infobae, 28 Sept 2026, 14:17 UTC. First seen 28 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC. Last seen 30 Sept 2026, 12:31 UTC. The earliest article is the earliest claimed publication time among the outlets Loudest reads, a claim rather than an observation and not a record of who broke the story (the data files call it the lead article); first seen is when Loudest first fetched an article of it, from which the running time counts.
Classification: Region Americas, Brazil. Topic Politics. Hard news Judged hard news. On the map. Whether the story is hard news under the rule in the methodology, judged from its headlines by a model; a story judged outside the rule is left off the map and kept here. The region and country are where the story is about, not where it was covered.
Score: None now: last seen more than 48 hours ago, so off the ranking. One vote per general-press country and a smaller term for outlets, each counted from the moment it joined the story and fading on its own clock, so a late article does not renew the rest. A day in the archive keeps the score it was ranked by that day.
Chain: Continued by Lula extends lead over Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026 Brazil election poll; RDC: Lula mantiene una leve ventaja en las encuestas de cara al primer turno de las elecciones en Brasil. A story continues another when it resembled it as it began, past that story’s own 48-hour box.
Day by day: Outlets and countries are the story’s whole life as of that midnight; the 24-hour columns are that day’s own coverage; the last column is the methodology version the day was measured under, and a day that spans a change of version shows the first and last, linked to the changelog that lists every version between. A day marked partial is one Loudest read only in part: fewer than 130 of its 144 ten-minute runs, or more than 30 minutes missed at its start or end.

Day Rank Score Outlets Countries 24h outlets 24h countries Method

28 Sept 2026 135 7.75 8 6 8 6 3.3

29 Sept 2026 227 5.57 11 7 6 3 3.3 → 4.0

30 Sept 2026 281 4.51 12 8 2 2 4.0

This record as JSON, CC BY 4.0.

How this was measured

This page describes measured coverage: which of the outlets Loudest reads carried the story, from how many countries and in how many languages, and when. It says nothing about whether the story is true, important or well reported.

Started 28 Sept, 15:00 UTC · Updated 30 Sept, 12:31 UTC

Covered by 12 outlets

Pin outlets you trust with ☆ and they come first in every story.

Americas 11 outlets

El País (UY) Uruguay 30 Sept, 12:31 UTC
Lula vs. Flávio Bolsonaro: ¿qué dice la última encuesta en Brasil a cuatro días de las elecciones?
+3 more articlesHide 3 more articles
Estadão Brazil 30 Sept, 12:10 UTC
Lula tem 39% e Flávio Bolsonaro soma 34% no 1º turno, aponta Indexa/Broadcast
+1 more articleHide 1 more article
- Lula tem 39,4% e Flávio Bolsonaro soma 38,4% no primeiro turno, diz pesquisa Meio/Ideia 30 Sept, 10:00 UTC
La Nación (AR) Argentina 29 Sept, 16:18 UTC
Una nueva encuesta enfrentó a Lula y Bolsonaro Jr. en Brasil: la diferencia es de 0,1 puntos
+2 more articlesHide 2 more articles
- Una nueva encuesta enfrentó a Lula y Flávio Bolsonaro en Brasil: la diferencia es de cinco puntos 29 Sept, 13:24 UTC
- La última encuesta de Quaest: Lula, con 39%, y Flavio Bolsonaro, con 34%, para las elecciones Brasil 2026 28 Sept, 16:33 UTC
Clarín Argentina 29 Sept, 14:06 UTC
Lula vs. Bolsonaro: un país dividido en "tres Brasiles" y una puja voto a voto por los indecisos
Infobae Argentina 29 Sept, 10:31 UTC
Lula obtendría el 39% de los votos y Flávio Bolsonaro el 34%, según una encuesta a una semana de las elecciones
+3 more articlesHide 3 more articles
MercoPress Uruguay 29 Sept, 07:21 UTC
Lula widens his first-round lead to five points, but the runoff remains tied
Perfil Argentina 28 Sept, 20:43 UTC
Elecciones en Brasil: en RDC se reveló que Lula recupera terreno frente a Flavio Bolsonaro
+1 more articleHide 1 more article
- “Si la segunda vuelta fuera ahora, Bolsonaro le ganaría a Lula por 1 punto” 28 Sept, 19:26 UTC
El Financiero Mexico 28 Sept, 20:34 UTC
‘Oxígeno’ para Lula: Aumenta ventaja sobre Bolsonaro a días de la elección presidencial en Brasil
El Nacional Venezuela 28 Sept, 17:49 UTC
Lula amplía a cinco puntos su ventaja sobre Flávio Bolsonaro a seis días de las elecciones
El Comercio Peru 28 Sept, 15:20 UTC
Lula agranda a seis puntos su ventaja con Flávio Bolsonaro a seis días de las elecciones en Brasil
BioBioChile Chile 28 Sept, 15:09 UTC
Lula da Silva aumenta a seis puntos su ventaja sobre Flávio Bolsonaro a días de los comicios en Brasil

Europe 1 outlet

Interfax Russia 29 Sept, 12:47 UTC
Лула да Силва опережает Болсонару в опросе перед выборами президента Бразилии

Day	Rank	Score	Outlets	Countries	24h outlets	24h countries	Method
28 Sept 2026	135	7.75	8	6	8	6	3.3
29 Sept 2026	227	5.57	11	7	6	3	3.3 → 4.0
30 Sept 2026	281	4.51	12	8	2	2	4.0